Rephrase abstract
- streamline first half - add "on a grid" - add note on predictive routing applications - mention managerial findings and winning forecasting method in second half
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tex/meta.tex
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tex/meta.tex
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@ -23,18 +23,18 @@ Emails:
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\begin{abstract}
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Meal delivery platforms like Uber Eats shape the landscape in cities around the world.
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This paper addresses forecasting demand into the short-term future.
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This paper addresses forecasting demand on a grid into the short-term future,
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enabling, for example, predictive routing applications.
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We propose an approach incorporating
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both classical forecasting
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and machine learning methods.
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Model evaluation and selection is adapted to demand typical for such a platform
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(i.e., intermittent with a double-seasonal pattern).
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The results of an empirical study with a European meal delivery service show
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that machine learning models become competitive
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once the average daily demand passes a threshold.
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As a main contribution, the paper explains
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how a forecasting system must be set up
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to enable predictive routing.
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both classical forecasting and machine learning methods
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and adapt model evaluation and selection to typical demand:
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intermittent with a double-seasonal pattern.
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An empirical study shows that
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an exponential smoothing based method trained on past demand data alone
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achieves optimal accuracy,
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if at least two months are on record.
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With only a shorter demand history,
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machine learning methods and real-time data may improve prediction.
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\end{abstract}
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\begin{keyword}
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