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Rephrase abstract

- streamline first half
- add "on a grid"
- add note on predictive routing applications
- mention managerial findings and winning forecasting method
  in second half
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Alexander Hess 2020-10-09 14:48:29 +02:00
parent b76ddd0e2f
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@ -23,18 +23,18 @@ Emails:
\begin{abstract} \begin{abstract}
Meal delivery platforms like Uber Eats shape the landscape in cities around the world. Meal delivery platforms like Uber Eats shape the landscape in cities around the world.
This paper addresses forecasting demand into the short-term future. This paper addresses forecasting demand on a grid into the short-term future,
enabling, for example, predictive routing applications.
We propose an approach incorporating We propose an approach incorporating
both classical forecasting both classical forecasting and machine learning methods
and machine learning methods. and adapt model evaluation and selection to typical demand:
Model evaluation and selection is adapted to demand typical for such a platform intermittent with a double-seasonal pattern.
(i.e., intermittent with a double-seasonal pattern). An empirical study shows that
The results of an empirical study with a European meal delivery service show an exponential smoothing based method trained on past demand data alone
that machine learning models become competitive achieves optimal accuracy,
once the average daily demand passes a threshold. if at least two months are on record.
As a main contribution, the paper explains With only a shorter demand history,
how a forecasting system must be set up machine learning methods and real-time data may improve prediction.
to enable predictive routing.
\end{abstract} \end{abstract}
\begin{keyword} \begin{keyword}