Create tactical demand forecasts
- the first notebook runs the tactical-forecasts command - the second notebook describes the tactical demand forecasting process + demand aggregation on a per-pixel level + time series generation: horizontal, vertical, and real-time time series + STL decomposition into seasonal, trend, and residual components + choosing the most promising forecasting model + predicting demand with various models - fix where to re-start the forecasting process after it was interrupted - enable the heuristic for choosing the most promising model to also work for 7 training weeks
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@ -49,9 +49,9 @@ class Config:
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TIME_STEPS = [60]
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# Training horizons (in full weeks) used to train the forecasting models.
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# For now, we only use 8 weeks as that was the best performing in
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# For now, we only use 7 and 8 weeks as that was the best performing in
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# a previous study (note:4f79e8fa).
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TRAIN_HORIZONS = [8]
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TRAIN_HORIZONS = [7, 8]
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# The demand forecasting methods used in the simulations.
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FORECASTING_METHODS = ['hets', 'rtarima']
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