Commit graph

5 commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
3f5b4a50bb
Rename Forecast.training_horizon into .train_horizon
- we use that shorter name in `urban_meal_delivery.forecasts.*`
  and want to be consistent in the ORM layer as well
2021-02-02 13:09:09 +01:00
6fd16f2a6c
Add TrivialModel
- the trivial model simply predicts `0` demand for all time steps
2021-02-02 12:45:26 +01:00
015d304306
Add HorizontalSMAModel
- the model applies a simple moving average on horizontal time series
- refactor `db.Forecast.from_dataframe()` to correctly convert
  `float('NaN')` values into `None`; otherwise, SQLAlchemy complains
2021-02-02 12:40:53 +01:00
cb7611d587
Add OrderHistory.avg_daily_demand()
- the method calculates the number of daily `Order`s in a `Pixel`
  withing the `train_horizon` preceding the `predict_day`
2021-02-01 21:50:42 +01:00
67cd58cf16
Add urban_meal_delivery.forecasts.models sub-package
- `*Model`s use the `methods.*.predict()` functions to predict demand
  given an order time series generated by `timify.OrderHistory`
- `models.base.ForecastingModelABC` unifies how all `*Model`s work
  and implements a caching strategy
- implement three `*Model`s for tactical forecasting, based on the
  hets, varima, and rtarima models described in the first research paper
- add overall documentation for `urban_meal_delivery.forecasts` package
- move the fixtures in `tests.forecasts.timify.conftest` to
  `tests.forecasts.conftest` and adjust the horizon of the test horizon
  from two to three weeks
2021-02-01 20:39:52 +01:00